AES Corp risk profile
55 Elevated one input has moved against it
Measured 21 October 2026 from AES's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
55 (Elevated), driven by Leverage and coverage at 88, over 6 weighted categories on the MANUFACTURER profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 27 | Normal | Stable | One-year price volatility — 26.5% |
| Operating pressure | 56 | Elevated | Easing | Costs outgrowing revenue — +0.5 percentage points |
| Cash conversion | 65 | Stretched | Easing | Capital spending against operating cash — 1.38x |
| Leverage and coverage | 88 | Acute | Worsening | Net debt to EBITDA — 9.70x |
| Competitive position | 64 | Stretched | Stable | Operating-margin gap against peers — -5.0 percentage points |
| Concentration | 28 | Normal | Stable | Geographic concentration — 2,191 HHI |
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.