ALVIR risk profile
42 Elevated one input has moved against it
Measured 1 September 2026 from ALVIR's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
42 (Elevated), driven by Cash conversion at 100, over 5 weighted categories on the SOFTWARE profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 65 | Stretched | Worsening | Drawdown from the 52-week high — 29.9% |
| Operating pressure | 52 | Elevated | Worsening | Costs outgrowing revenue — +9.4 percentage points |
| Cash conversion | 100 | Acute | Worsening | Capital spending against operating cash — -0.59x |
| Leverage and coverage | 70 | Stretched | Worsening | Net debt to EBITDA — 6.54x |
| Competitive position | 25 | Normal | Stable | Operating-margin gap against peers — +11.6 percentage points |
| Concentration | Reads identified supplier spend, customers above the 10% disclosure threshold and revenue by region. No reading is stored for this company. | |||
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.