Caterpillar Inc risk profile
44 Elevated one input has moved against it
Measured 21 October 2026 from CAT's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
44 (Elevated), driven by Operating pressure at 52, over 6 weighted categories on the MANUFACTURER profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 48 | Elevated | Stable | One-year price volatility — 40.7% |
| Operating pressure | 52 | Elevated | Worsening | Costs outgrowing revenue — +5.7 percentage points |
| Cash conversion | 27 | Normal | Stable | Cash conversion — 1.32x |
| Leverage and coverage | 22 | Normal | Stable | Net debt to EBITDA — 1.96x |
| Competitive position | 46 | Elevated | Stable | Revenue-growth gap against peers — -6.1 percentage points |
| Concentration | 49 | Elevated | Stable | Geographic concentration — 3,673 HHI |
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.