Carnival plc risk profile
26 Normal where most of the sector sits
Measured 21 October 2026 from CUK's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
26 (Normal), driven by Leverage and coverage at 59, over 5 weighted categories on the MARKETPLACE profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 48 | Elevated | Volatile | One-year price volatility — 52.2% |
| Operating pressure | 18 | Contained | Worsening | Costs outgrowing revenue — -3.2 percentage points |
| Cash conversion | 25 | Normal | Easing | Capital spending against operating cash — 0.58x |
| Leverage and coverage | 59 | Elevated | Easing | Net debt to EBITDA — 3.77x |
| Competitive position | 20 | Normal | Stable | Operating-margin gap against peers — +6.8 percentage points |
| Concentration | Reads identified supplier spend, customers above the 10% disclosure threshold and revenue by region. No reading is stored for this company. | |||
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.
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