Dollar Tree Inc risk profile
46 Elevated one input has moved against it
Measured 21 October 2026 from DLTR's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
46 (Elevated), driven by Concentration at 56, over 6 weighted categories on the RETAILER profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 36 | Normal | Stable | One-year price volatility — 41.6% |
| Operating pressure | 47 | Elevated | Stable | Operating-margin drift — -5.1 percentage points |
| Cash conversion | 37 | Normal | Easing | Capital spending against operating cash — 0.52x |
| Leverage and coverage | 19 | Contained | Stable | Current ratio — 1.07x |
| Competitive position | 46 | Elevated | Stable | Operating-margin gap against peers — -2.0 percentage points |
| Concentration | 56 | Elevated | Stable | Supplier concentration — 10,000 HHI |
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.