First Watch Restaurant Group Inc risk profile
50 Elevated one input has moved against it
Measured 21 October 2026 from FWRG's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
50 (Elevated), driven by Leverage and coverage at 79, over 5 weighted categories on the RETAILER profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 62 | Stretched | Volatile | One-year price volatility — 53.0% |
| Operating pressure | 46 | Elevated | Worsening | Costs outgrowing revenue — +1.6 percentage points |
| Cash conversion | 54 | Elevated | Worsening | Capital spending against operating cash — 1.25x |
| Leverage and coverage | 79 | Stretched | Stable | Net debt to EBITDA — 9.63x |
| Competitive position | 40 | Elevated | Stable | Operating-margin gap against peers — -4.8 percentage points |
| Concentration | Reads identified supplier spend, customers above the 10% disclosure threshold and revenue by region. No reading is stored for this company. | |||
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.
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Financials, valuation and price history for First Watch Restaurant Group Inc