Match Group Inc - New risk profile
35 Normal where most of the sector sits
Measured 21 October 2026 from MTCH's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
35 (Normal), driven by Leverage and coverage at 43, over 6 weighted categories on the SOFTWARE profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 22 | Normal | Stable | One-year price volatility — 32.8% |
| Operating pressure | 31 | Normal | Easing | Costs outgrowing revenue — +0.4 percentage points |
| Cash conversion | 15 | Contained | Stable | Capital spending against operating cash — 0.05x |
| Leverage and coverage | 43 | Elevated | Worsening | Net debt to EBITDA — 3.07x |
| Competitive position | 40 | Elevated | Stable | Revenue-growth gap against peers — -2.3 percentage points |
| Concentration | 34 | Normal | Stable | Geographic concentration — 1,930 HHI |
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.
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Financials, valuation and price history for Match Group Inc - New