Oracle Corp risk profile
47 Elevated one input has moved against it
Measured 21 October 2026 from ORCL's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
47 (Elevated), driven by Market expectation at 71, over 7 weighted categories on the SOFTWARE profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 71 | Stretched | Volatile | One-year price volatility — 56.6% |
| Operating pressure | 39 | Normal | Stable | Costs outgrowing revenue — +3.9 percentage points |
| Cash conversion | 70 | Stretched | Worsening | Capital spending against operating cash — 1.74x |
| Leverage and coverage | 49 | Elevated | Worsening | Net debt to EBITDA — 3.73x |
| Competitive position | 36 | Normal | Stable | Revenue-growth gap against peers — +5.0 percentage points |
| Concentration | 65 | Stretched | Stable | Supplier concentration — 10,000 HHI |
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.