Packaging Corp Of America risk profile
48 Elevated one input has moved against it
Measured 21 October 2026 from PKG's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
48 (Elevated), driven by Concentration at 100, over 7 weighted categories on the MANUFACTURER profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 24 | Normal | Stable | One-year price volatility — 27.9% |
| Operating pressure | 51 | Elevated | Stable | Operating-margin drift — -4.4 percentage points |
| Cash conversion | 30 | Normal | Easing | Capital spending against operating cash — 0.53x |
| Leverage and coverage | 15 | Contained | Worsening | Net debt to EBITDA — 1.95x |
| Competitive position | 54 | Elevated | Stable | Revenue-growth gap against peers — -14.0 percentage points |
| Concentration | 100 | Acute | Stable | Geographic concentration — 10,000 HHI |
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.
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Financials, valuation and price history for Packaging Corp Of America