Firefly Aerospace Inc risk profile
60 Stretched several inputs deteriorating together
Measured 21 October 2026 from FLY's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
60 (Stretched), driven by Cash conversion at 100, over 6 weighted categories on the MANUFACTURER profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 77 | Stretched | Volatile | One-year price volatility — 108.2% |
| Operating pressure | 4 | Contained | Easing | Input-cost exposure — 0.06 |
| Cash conversion | 100 | Acute | Stable | Capital spending against operating cash — -0.16x |
| Leverage and coverage | 36 | Normal | Easing | Interest cover — -11.02x |
| Competitive position | 69 | Stretched | Stable | Operating-margin gap against peers — -172.9 percentage points |
| Concentration | 82 | Acute | Stable | Customer concentration — 3,684 HHI |
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.
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Financials, valuation and price history for Firefly Aerospace Inc