Geo Group Inc risk profile
71 Stretched several inputs deteriorating together
Measured 21 October 2026 from GEO's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
71 (Stretched), driven by Concentration at 91, over 6 weighted categories on the MANUFACTURER profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 44 | Elevated | Volatile | One-year price volatility — 49.3% |
| Operating pressure | Reads cost_of_revenue, operating_expense, operating_income and revenue. No reading is stored for this company. | |||
| Cash conversion | 86 | Acute | Worsening | Capital spending against operating cash — 2.72x |
| Leverage and coverage | 55 | Elevated | Stable | Net debt to EBITDA — 4.06x |
| Competitive position | 55 | Elevated | Stable | Operating-margin gap against peers — -0.0 percentage points |
| Concentration | 91 | Acute | Stable | Geographic concentration — 8,604 HHI |
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.