Mosaic Company risk profile
72 Stretched several inputs deteriorating together
Measured 21 October 2026 from MOS's filed statements. Recomputed nightly.
72 (Stretched), driven by Concentration at 100, over 6 weighted categories on the MANUFACTURER profile.
What is measured
| Mechanism | Reading | Band | Direction | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market expectation | 59 | Elevated | Volatile | Drawdown from the 52-week high — 42.9% |
| Operating pressure | 68 | Stretched | Easing | Operating-margin drift — -18.2 percentage points |
| Cash conversion | 68 | Stretched | Worsening | Capital spending against operating cash — 1.65x |
| Leverage and coverage | 25 | Normal | Easing | Interest cover — 7.75x |
| Competitive position | 74 | Stretched | Stable | Revenue-growth gap against peers — -43.0 percentage points |
| Concentration | 100 | Acute | Stable | Geographic concentration — 10,000 HHI |
These are descriptive readings of disclosed mechanisms, not investment advice, and not a prediction. A band says where a measured input sits, never what to do about it or what happens next.