Aruba economic indicators
Aruba scores 8 out of 100 on Bullrun's six-pillar economic stress index, which places it in the "Calm" band. The score draws on 6 of the 7 indicators held here, covering 4 of 6 pillars. The freshest reading is from 2025; the oldest that feeds the score is from 2024.
Economic stress score
- Composite stress8 / 100 Calm
- Pillars covered4 / 6
- Indicators scored6 / 7
| Pillar | Stress | Band | Indicators scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Labour | 10 / 100 | Calm | 2 / 2 |
| Housing | n/a | n/a | 0 / 0 |
| Credit | n/a | n/a | 0 / 0 |
| Fiscal | 20 / 100 | Calm | 2 / 2 |
| External | 0 / 100 | Calm | 1 / 1 |
| Cycle | 2 / 100 | Calm | 1 / 2 |
Higher is more stressed. A pillar holding readings but scoring none - every one stale - shows "n/a" rather than zero.
Labour
| Indicator | Latest | Period | Source | Stress | How it is scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment rate | 3.6% | 2025 | IMF | 11 | Scored on a fixed cross-country scale |
| Unemployment momentum | -0.7pp | 2025 | IMF | 8 | Change against a year earlier |
Fiscal
| Indicator | Latest | Period | Source | Stress | How it is scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government debt (% of GDP) | 63.6% | 2025 | IMF | 33 | Scored against its own last 20 years |
| Fiscal balance (% of GDP) | 1.9% | 2025 | IMF | 6 | Scored on a fixed cross-country scale |
External
| Indicator | Latest | Period | Source | Stress | How it is scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current account (% of GDP) | 7.7% | 2025 | IMF | 0 | Scored on a fixed cross-country scale |
Cycle
| Indicator | Latest | Period | Source | Stress | How it is scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth | 6.81% | 2024 | WORLDBANK | 2 | Scored on a fixed cross-country scale |
| Consumer inflation | 4.26% | 2019 (stale) | WORLDBANK | not scored | Not scored - last published 2019 |
How this score is built
Each indicator is turned into a 0-100 stress reading, either on a fixed cross-country scale or - where a raw level means different things in different economies - as a percentile against that country's own twenty-year history. Readings average into six pillars, and the pillars into the composite.
Three rules keep a thinly-covered country from looking calm: a country covering fewer than 4 of 6 pillars is refused a composite rather than given a low one; coverage is printed on the face of the score rather than hidden in a footnote; and a stale reading stays visible with its date, marked not scored, instead of being dropped.
Indicators come from OECD, BIS, IMF and World Bank releases at their published frequencies, so the periods above genuinely differ from row to row - a monthly unemployment print and an annual current-account balance can be more than a year apart. See the data license.