Markets and economies of the Americas

Bullrun holds a reading for 39 economies in the Americas, across 5 panels. Suriname carries the region's highest composite stress at 69 of 100. Coverage is not uniform: a panel a provider does not publish for this region is left out rather than filled from a proxy, and an economy missing from a table is one we hold no reading for, never a zero.

Economic stress in the Americas

Composite stress, 0-100 for 25 economies, ranked. The whole cross-section, every region included, is on Country Stress Score.

#EconomyStress scoreBandPeriodSource
1Suriname69Stretched2025Bullrun
2Bahamas59Elevated2025Bullrun
3Bolivia58Elevated2025Bullrun
4Brazil48Elevated2026-08Bullrun
5Colombia48Elevated2026-08Bullrun
6Argentina47Elevated2026-08Bullrun
7Chile45Elevated2026-08Bullrun
8Panama45Elevated2025Bullrun
9Canada43Watch2026-08Bullrun
10Costa Rica41Watch2026-08Bullrun
11United States40Watch2026-08Bullrun
12Uruguay40Watch2025Bullrun
13Barbados39Watch2025Bullrun
14Dominican Rep.39Watch2025Bullrun
15El Salvador38Watch2025Bullrun
16Mexico38Watch2026-08Bullrun
17Paraguay36Watch2025Bullrun
18Trinidad and Tobago36Watch2025Bullrun
19Honduras32Watch2025Bullrun
20Belize30Watch2025Bullrun
21Jamaica26Calm2025Bullrun
22Peru25Calm2026-Q1Bullrun
23Ecuador22Calm2025Bullrun
24Nicaragua12Very calm2025Bullrun
25Aruba8Very calm2025Bullrun

GDP growth in the Americas

Real GDP growth for 35 economies, ranked. Reference period 2025. The whole cross-section, every region included, is on GDP Growth by Country.

#EconomyReal GDP growthBandSource
1Guyana+19.34%StrongWORLDBANK
2Paraguay+6.64%StrongWORLDBANK
3Antigua and Barbuda+5.00%StrongWORLDBANK
4Nicaragua+4.92%StrongWORLDBANK
5Costa Rica+4.56%StrongWORLDBANK
6Grenada+4.41%StrongWORLDBANK
7Argentina+4.37%StrongWORLDBANK
8Panama+4.35%StrongWORLDBANK
9Guatemala+4.28%StrongWORLDBANK
10El Salvador+3.91%StrongWORLDBANK
11Honduras+3.75%StrongWORLDBANK
12Ecuador+3.73%StrongWORLDBANK
13Peru+3.43%HealthyWORLDBANK
14Sint Maarten (Dutch part)+3.40%HealthyWORLDBANK
15Saint Vincent and the Grenadines+3.39%HealthyWORLDBANK
16Dominica+3.05%HealthyWORLDBANK
17Belize+2.75%HealthyWORLDBANK
18Barbados+2.70%HealthyWORLDBANK
19Saint Kitts and Nevis+2.69%HealthyWORLDBANK
20Colombia+2.64%HealthyWORLDBANK
21Chile+2.46%HealthyWORLDBANK
22Brazil+2.29%HealthyWORLDBANK
23United States+2.16%HealthyWORLDBANK
24Dominican Rep.+2.12%HealthyWORLDBANK
25Suriname+1.79%SluggishWORLDBANK
26Uruguay+1.78%SluggishWORLDBANK
27Canada+1.74%SluggishWORLDBANK
28Venezuela+1.57%SluggishWORLDBANK
29Mexico+0.56%StagnationWORLDBANK
30Puerto Rico+0.32%StagnationWORLDBANK
31Jamaica+0.08%StagnationWORLDBANK
32Saint Lucia-0.57%ContractionWORLDBANK
33Trinidad and Tobago-0.79%ContractionWORLDBANK
34Bolivia-1.58%ContractionWORLDBANK
35Haiti-2.71%ContractionWORLDBANK

Inflation in the Americas

Consumer prices, year over year for 38 economies, ranked. The whole cross-section, every region included, is on Inflation by Country.

#EconomyInflation, YoYBandPeriodSource
1Cayman Islands-0.63%Deflation2016WORLDBANK
2Panama-0.19%Deflation2025WORLDBANK
3Costa Rica-0.17%Deflation2026-08OECD
4El Salvador+0.26%At target2025WORLDBANK
5Bahamas+0.41%At target2024WORLDBANK
6Grenada+0.61%At target2025WORLDBANK
7Ecuador+0.71%At target2025WORLDBANK
8Saint Vincent and the Grenadines+0.82%At target2025WORLDBANK
9Barbados+0.85%At target2025WORLDBANK
10Trinidad and Tobago+0.99%At target2025WORLDBANK
11Belize+1.06%At target2025WORLDBANK
12Antigua and Barbuda+1.37%At target2025WORLDBANK
13Guatemala+1.49%At target2025WORLDBANK
14Peru+1.53%At target2025WORLDBANK
15Saint Lucia+2.03%A little above target2025WORLDBANK
16Nicaragua+2.08%A little above target2025WORLDBANK
17Sint Maarten (Dutch part)+2.19%A little above target2017WORLDBANK
18Dominica+2.53%A little above target2025WORLDBANK
19Curacao+2.62%A little above target2019WORLDBANK
20Canada+3.03%A little above target2026-08OECD
21Mexico+3.26%A little above target2026-08OECD
22Guyana+3.33%A little above target2025WORLDBANK
23United States+3.40%A little above target2026-08BLS
24Saint Kitts and Nevis+3.56%A little above target2023WORLDBANK
25Dominican Rep.+3.87%A little above target2025WORLDBANK
26Jamaica+4.00%Elevated2025WORLDBANK
27Paraguay+4.04%Elevated2025WORLDBANK
28Chile+4.13%Elevated2026-08OECD
29Brazil+4.22%Elevated2026-08OECD
30Aruba+4.26%Elevated2019WORLDBANK
31Honduras+4.60%Elevated2025WORLDBANK
32Uruguay+4.65%Elevated2025WORLDBANK
33Colombia+6.24%Elevated2026-08OECD
34Suriname+9.21%High2025WORLDBANK
35Bolivia+19.52%High2025WORLDBANK
36Haiti+28.64%High2025WORLDBANK
37Argentina+33.54%High2026-08OECD
38Venezuela+254.95%High2016WORLDBANK

Unemployment in the Americas

Unemployment rate for 27 economies, ranked. The whole cross-section, every region included, is on Unemployment by Country.

#EconomyUnemployment rateBandPeriodSource
1Venezuela35.6%Severe2018IMF
2Panama10.4%High2025IMF
3Bahamas9.5%High2025IMF
4Suriname9.5%High2025IMF
5Chile9.3%High2026-06OECD
6Colombia8.1%Slack2026-07OECD
7Uruguay7.5%Slack2025IMF
8Argentina7.4%Slack2025IMF
9Barbados6.9%Slack2025IMF
10Costa Rica6.8%Slack2026-06OECD
11Puerto Rico6.4%Slack2025IMF
12Canada6.4%Slack2026-08OECD
13Brazil6.0%Slack2025IMF
14Honduras5.9%Healthy2025IMF
15Peru5.9%Healthy2025IMF
16Dominican Rep.5.3%Healthy2025IMF
17Paraguay5.2%Healthy2025IMF
18El Salvador4.2%Healthy2025IMF
19United States4.1%Healthy2026-08OECD
20Trinidad and Tobago4.0%Healthy2025IMF
21Aruba3.6%Tight2025IMF
22Jamaica3.4%Tight2025IMF
23Bolivia3.3%Tight2025IMF
24Ecuador3.1%Tight2025IMF
25Mexico2.7%Tight2026-07OECD
26Nicaragua2.7%Tight2025IMF
27Belize2.6%Tight2025IMF

Government debt in the Americas

General government gross debt, percent of GDP for 36 economies, ranked. Reference period 2025. The whole cross-section, every region included, is on Government Debt by Country.

#EconomyDebt / GDPBandSource
1Venezuela308.7%Very highIMF
2United States123.9%Very highIMF
3Canada113.5%HighIMF
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines113.4%HighIMF
5Suriname105.8%HighIMF
6Dominica102.6%HighIMF
7Barbados94.2%HighIMF
8Brazil93.3%HighIMF
9El Salvador87.2%ElevatedIMF
10Bolivia84.8%ElevatedIMF
11Trinidad and Tobago84.2%ElevatedIMF
12Argentina80.3%ElevatedIMF
13Saint Lucia77.1%ElevatedIMF
14Bahamas73.8%ElevatedIMF
15Grenada71.6%ElevatedIMF
16Antigua and Barbuda69.7%ElevatedIMF
17Belize67.9%ElevatedIMF
18Jamaica67.7%ElevatedIMF
19Uruguay65.7%ElevatedIMF
20Aruba63.6%ElevatedIMF
21Mexico61.8%ElevatedIMF
22Costa Rica60.4%ElevatedIMF
23Colombia59.9%ModerateIMF
24Dominican Rep.59.0%ModerateIMF
25Saint Kitts and Nevis58.4%ModerateIMF
26Panama56.6%ModerateIMF
27Ecuador54.4%ModerateIMF
28Chile41.8%ModerateIMF
29Honduras41.2%ModerateIMF
30Paraguay38.1%ModerateIMF
31Nicaragua34.8%ModerateIMF
32Peru30.2%ModerateIMF
33Guyana28.6%LowIMF
34Guatemala27.2%LowIMF
35Puerto Rico18.0%LowIMF
36Haiti12.3%LowIMF

Economies of the Americas

Each of these has a page of its own scoring it against six pillars - labour, housing, credit, fiscal, external and cycle - and showing which readings were too stale to count.

Stocks to research in the Americas

Six listings weighted to Latin America and Canada on purpose. The United States is in every table above and on most of this site already, so the equities here are the part of the region that is harder to find elsewhere.

TickerCompanyMarketWhat to look at
VALEValeNYSEIron ore volumes, Chinese steel demand, and Brazilian operating risk.
ITUBItau UnibancoNYSEBrazilian credit growth, the Selic rate, and provisioning through the cycle.
PBRPetrobrasNYSEOffshore output, oil-price leverage, dividend policy, and state ownership.
AMXAmerica MovilNYSELatin American telecoms, subscriber mix, and currency translation.
SHOPShopifyNYSE/TSXMerchant growth, take rate, and Canadian technology at global scale.
RYRoyal Bank of CanadaNYSE/TSXCanadian mortgage exposure, capital markets, and capital returns.

Screen every listing we hold · Browse stocks

Where these numbers come from

PanelEconomiesSource
Composite stress, 0-10025Bullrun six-pillar composite, built from OECD, BIS, IMF and World Bank releases
Real GDP growth35World Bank annual national accounts, with OECD and official sources for the quarterly panel
Consumer prices, year over year38Official national statistics offices, via OECD and the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, with World Bank annual CPI as the broad fallback
Unemployment rate27OECD and Eurostat monthly harmonised rates, with the IMF's annual series as the floor
General government gross debt, percent of GDP36IMF World Economic Outlook, general government gross debt

Bands match the shading on the Global Markets dashboard, so a country's colour there and its band here always agree. Regional membership is geographic, and the aggregate rows these providers publish - the euro area, the World Bank income groups - are excluded, because they would outrank the economies they are built from. See the data license.

Other regions

Global markets dashboard · Every economy scored · GDP growth by country · Screen stocks by country