Markets and economies of the Americas

Bullrun holds a reading for 39 economies in the Americas, across 5 panels. Suriname carries the region's highest composite stress at 69 of 100. Coverage is not uniform: a panel a provider does not publish for this region is left out rather than filled from a proxy, and an economy missing from a table is one we hold no reading for, never a zero.

Economic stress in the Americas

Composite stress, 0-100 for 25 economies, ranked. The whole cross-section, every region included, is on Country Stress Score.

#EconomyStress scoreBandPeriodSource
1Suriname69Stretched2025Bullrun
2Bolivia58Elevated2025Bullrun
3Bahamas54Elevated2025Bullrun
4Colombia48Elevated2026-09Bullrun
5Argentina47Elevated2026-09Bullrun
6Brazil46Elevated2026-09Bullrun
7Panama46Elevated2025Bullrun
8Canada44Watch2026-10Bullrun
9Chile44Watch2026-10Bullrun
10United States42Watch2026-10Bullrun
11Costa Rica40Watch2026-Q3Bullrun
12Uruguay40Watch2025Bullrun
13Barbados39Watch2025Bullrun
14Dominican Rep.39Watch2025Bullrun
15El Salvador37Watch2025Bullrun
16Mexico36Watch2026-10Bullrun
17Trinidad and Tobago36Watch2025Bullrun
18Paraguay33Watch2025Bullrun
19Belize27Calm2025Bullrun
20Peru25Calm2026-Q1Bullrun
21Honduras24Calm2025Bullrun
22Jamaica24Calm2025Bullrun
23Ecuador22Calm2025Bullrun
24Nicaragua11Very calm2025Bullrun
25Aruba9Very calm2025Bullrun

GDP growth in the Americas

Real GDP growth for 35 economies, ranked. Reference period 2025. The whole cross-section, every region included, is on GDP Growth by Country.

#EconomyReal GDP growthBandSource
1Guyana+19.34%StrongWorld Bank
2Paraguay+6.64%StrongWorld Bank
3Antigua and Barbuda+5.00%StrongWorld Bank
4Nicaragua+4.92%StrongWorld Bank
5Costa Rica+4.56%StrongWorld Bank
6Grenada+4.41%StrongWorld Bank
7Argentina+4.37%StrongWorld Bank
8Panama+4.35%StrongWorld Bank
9Guatemala+4.28%StrongWorld Bank
10El Salvador+3.91%StrongWorld Bank
11Honduras+3.75%StrongWorld Bank
12Ecuador+3.73%StrongWorld Bank
13Peru+3.43%HealthyWorld Bank
14Sint Maarten (Dutch part)+3.40%HealthyWorld Bank
15Saint Vincent and the Grenadines+3.39%HealthyWorld Bank
16Dominica+3.05%HealthyWorld Bank
17Belize+2.75%HealthyWorld Bank
18Barbados+2.70%HealthyWorld Bank
19Saint Kitts and Nevis+2.69%HealthyWorld Bank
20Colombia+2.64%HealthyWorld Bank
21Chile+2.46%HealthyWorld Bank
22Brazil+2.29%HealthyWorld Bank
23United States+2.16%HealthyWorld Bank
24Dominican Rep.+2.12%HealthyWorld Bank
25Suriname+1.79%SluggishWorld Bank
26Uruguay+1.78%SluggishWorld Bank
27Canada+1.74%SluggishWorld Bank
28Venezuela+1.57%SluggishWorld Bank
29Mexico+0.56%StagnationWorld Bank
30Puerto Rico+0.32%StagnationWorld Bank
31Jamaica+0.08%StagnationWorld Bank
32Saint Lucia-0.57%ContractionWorld Bank
33Trinidad and Tobago-0.79%ContractionWorld Bank
34Bolivia-1.58%ContractionWorld Bank
35Haiti-2.71%ContractionWorld Bank

Inflation in the Americas

Consumer prices, year over year for 38 economies, ranked. The whole cross-section, every region included, is on Inflation by Country.

#EconomyInflation, YoYBandPeriodSource
1Cayman Islands-0.63%Deflation2016World Bank
2Panama-0.19%Deflation2025World Bank
3El Salvador+0.26%At target2025World Bank
4Costa Rica+0.34%At target2026-09OECD
5Grenada+0.61%At target2025World Bank
6Ecuador+0.71%At target2025World Bank
7Saint Vincent and the Grenadines+0.82%At target2025World Bank
8Barbados+0.85%At target2025World Bank
9Trinidad and Tobago+0.99%At target2025World Bank
10Belize+1.06%At target2025World Bank
11Bahamas+1.11%At target2025World Bank
12Antigua and Barbuda+1.37%At target2025World Bank
13Guatemala+1.49%At target2025World Bank
14Peru+1.53%At target2025World Bank
15Saint Lucia+2.03%A little above target2025World Bank
16Nicaragua+2.08%A little above target2025World Bank
17Sint Maarten (Dutch part)+2.19%A little above target2017World Bank
18Dominica+2.53%A little above target2025World Bank
19Curacao+2.62%A little above target2019World Bank
20Canada+3.09%A little above target2026-09OECD
21Guyana+3.33%A little above target2025World Bank
22Saint Kitts and Nevis+3.56%A little above target2023World Bank
23United States+3.74%A little above target2026-09BLS
24Mexico+3.75%A little above target2026-10OECD
25Dominican Rep.+3.87%A little above target2025World Bank
26Jamaica+4.00%Elevated2025World Bank
27Paraguay+4.04%Elevated2025World Bank
28Aruba+4.26%Elevated2019World Bank
29Chile+4.52%Elevated2026-10OECD
30Brazil+4.58%Elevated2026-09OECD
31Honduras+4.60%Elevated2025World Bank
32Uruguay+4.65%Elevated2025World Bank
33Colombia+6.29%Elevated2026-09OECD
34Suriname+9.21%High2025World Bank
35Bolivia+19.52%High2025World Bank
36Haiti+28.64%High2025World Bank
37Argentina+33.35%High2026-09OECD
38Venezuela+254.95%High2016World Bank

Unemployment in the Americas

Unemployment rate for 27 economies, ranked. The whole cross-section, every region included, is on Unemployment by Country.

#EconomyUnemployment rateBandPeriodSource
1Panama10.4%High2025IMF
2Chile9.6%High2026-08OECD
3Suriname9.5%High2025IMF
4Bahamas9.4%High2025IMF
5Colombia8.5%Slack2026-09OECD
6Uruguay7.5%Slack2025IMF
7Argentina7.4%Slack2025IMF
8Barbados7.2%Slack2025IMF
9Canada6.7%Slack2026-10OECD
10Costa Rica6.6%Slack2026-08OECD
11Brazil6.0%Slack2025IMF
12Peru5.9%Healthy2025IMF
13Puerto Rico5.6%Healthy2025IMF
14Venezuela5.5%Healthy2018IMF
15Dominican Rep.5.3%Healthy2025IMF
16Honduras4.9%Healthy2025IMF
17Paraguay4.8%Healthy2025IMF
18Trinidad and Tobago4.5%Healthy2025IMF
19El Salvador4.2%Healthy2025IMF
20United States4.1%Healthy2026-10OECD
21Aruba4.0%Healthy2025IMF
22Jamaica3.4%Tight2025IMF
23Bolivia3.3%Tight2025IMF
24Ecuador3.1%Tight2025IMF
25Nicaragua2.7%Tight2025IMF
26Mexico2.6%Tight2026-09OECD
27Belize2.0%Tight2025IMF

Government debt in the Americas

General government gross debt, percent of GDP for 35 economies, ranked. Reference period 2025. The whole cross-section, every region included, is on Government Debt by Country.

#EconomyDebt / GDPBandSource
1United States124.4%Very highIMF
2Canada113.6%HighIMF
3Saint Vincent and the Grenadines107.7%HighIMF
4Dominica99.9%HighIMF
5Suriname96.9%HighIMF
6Barbados96.2%HighIMF
7Brazil93.3%HighIMF
8El Salvador87.6%ElevatedIMF
9Trinidad and Tobago84.0%ElevatedIMF
10Bolivia83.3%ElevatedIMF
11Argentina80.1%ElevatedIMF
12Saint Lucia76.8%ElevatedIMF
13Bahamas71.7%ElevatedIMF
14Antigua and Barbuda70.2%ElevatedIMF
15Grenada69.4%ElevatedIMF
16Belize66.9%ElevatedIMF
17Jamaica66.0%ElevatedIMF
18Uruguay65.6%ElevatedIMF
19Aruba64.8%ElevatedIMF
20Mexico61.7%ElevatedIMF
21Costa Rica60.4%ElevatedIMF
22Colombia59.9%ModerateIMF
23Dominican Rep.59.0%ModerateIMF
24Saint Kitts and Nevis58.7%ModerateIMF
25Panama56.6%ModerateIMF
26Ecuador54.5%ModerateIMF
27Chile41.5%ModerateIMF
28Honduras40.3%ModerateIMF
29Paraguay38.2%ModerateIMF
30Nicaragua34.6%ModerateIMF
31Peru30.1%ModerateIMF
32Guyana28.9%LowIMF
33Guatemala26.7%LowIMF
34Puerto Rico17.6%LowIMF
35Haiti12.3%LowIMF

Economies of the Americas

Each of these has a page of its own scoring it against six pillars - labour, housing, credit, fiscal, external and cycle - and showing which readings were too stale to count.

Stocks to research in the Americas

Six listings weighted to Latin America and Canada on purpose. The United States is in every table above and on most of this site already, so the equities here are the part of the region that is harder to find elsewhere.

TickerCompanyMarketWhat to look at
VALEValeNYSEIron ore volumes, Chinese steel demand, and Brazilian operating risk.
ITUBItau UnibancoNYSEBrazilian credit growth, the Selic rate, and provisioning through the cycle.
PBRPetrobrasNYSEOffshore output, oil-price leverage, dividend policy, and state ownership.
AMXAmerica MovilNYSELatin American telecoms, subscriber mix, and currency translation.
SHOPShopifyNYSE/TSXMerchant growth, take rate, and Canadian technology at global scale.
RYRoyal Bank of CanadaNYSE/TSXCanadian mortgage exposure, capital markets, and capital returns.

Screen every listing we hold · Browse stocks

Where these numbers come from

PanelEconomiesSource
Composite stress, 0-10025Bullrun six-pillar composite, built from OECD, BIS, IMF and World Bank releases
Real GDP growth35World Bank annual national accounts, with OECD and official sources for the quarterly panel
Consumer prices, year over year38Official national statistics offices, via OECD and the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, with World Bank annual CPI as the broad fallback
Unemployment rate27OECD and Eurostat monthly harmonised rates, with the IMF's annual series as the floor
General government gross debt, percent of GDP35IMF World Economic Outlook, general government gross debt

Bands match the shading on the Global Markets dashboard, so a country's colour there and its band here always agree. Regional membership is geographic, and the aggregate rows these providers publish - the euro area, the World Bank income groups - are excluded, because they would outrank the economies they are built from. See the data license.

Other regions

Global markets dashboard · Every economy scored · GDP growth by country · Screen stocks by country