Country stress by country

Every economy Bullrun holds a reading for: 107 in all, ranked highest first. Ukraine is the highest at 75 and Andorra the lowest at 8; the median is 38. Each row carries its own period and source, because these providers publish on different calendars - two rows in this table can be more than a year apart.

Country stress by country, ranked

#EconomyStress scoreBandPeriodSource
1Ukraine75Stretched2025Bullrun
2Suriname69Stretched2025Bullrun
3Lebanon66Stretched2025Bullrun
4Romania61Stretched2026-09Bullrun
5Sudan61Stretched2025Bullrun
6Bolivia58Elevated2025Bullrun
7Jordan58Elevated2025Bullrun
8Moldova58Elevated2025Bullrun
9Bahamas54Elevated2025Bullrun
10Saudi Arabia54Elevated2026-Q3Bullrun
11North Macedonia53Elevated2026-09Bullrun
12Egypt52Elevated2025Bullrun
13Latvia52Elevated2026-10Bullrun
14Slovakia52Elevated2026-09Bullrun
15Bulgaria51Elevated2026-09Bullrun
16Fiji51Elevated2025Bullrun
17Iran51Elevated2025Bullrun
18Mauritius51Elevated2025Bullrun
19Tunisia51Elevated2025Bullrun
20Armenia50Elevated2025Bullrun
21Colombia48Elevated2026-09Bullrun
22Argentina47Elevated2026-09Bullrun
23Philippines47Elevated2026-Q2Bullrun
24Brazil46Elevated2026-09Bullrun
25Kazakhstan46Elevated2025Bullrun
26Panama46Elevated2025Bullrun
27Australia45Elevated2026-09Bullrun
28Belgium45Elevated2026-10Bullrun
29New Zealand45Elevated2026-Q2Bullrun
30Canada44Watch2026-10Bullrun
31Chile44Watch2026-10Bullrun
32France44Watch2026-09Bullrun
33Iceland44Watch2026-10Bullrun
34Bhutan43Watch2025Bullrun
35India43Watch2026-09Bullrun
36Mongolia43Watch2025Bullrun
37Hong Kong42Watch2026-Q2Bullrun
38United States42Watch2026-10Bullrun
39China41Watch2026-10Bullrun
40Kyrgyzstan41Watch2025Bullrun
41Lithuania41Watch2026-10Bullrun
42Russia41Watch2026-Q2Bullrun
43Bosnia and Herz.40Watch2026-08Bullrun
44Costa Rica40Watch2026-Q3Bullrun
45Estonia40Watch2026-10Bullrun
46South Africa40Watch2026-09Bullrun
47Uruguay40Watch2025Bullrun
48Uzbekistan40Watch2025Bullrun
49Barbados39Watch2025Bullrun
50Dominican Rep.39Watch2025Bullrun
51Finland39Watch2026-09Bullrun
52Georgia39Watch2025Bullrun
53Turkey39Watch2026-09Bullrun
54Israel38Watch2026-09Bullrun
55Morocco38Watch2026-Q2Bullrun
56Serbia38Watch2026-Q2Bullrun
57Bahrain37Watch2025Bullrun
58El Salvador37Watch2025Bullrun
59Norway37Watch2026-10Bullrun
60United Kingdom37Watch2026-09Bullrun
61Greece36Watch2026-10Bullrun
62Mexico36Watch2026-10Bullrun
63Pakistan36Watch2025Bullrun
64Spain36Watch2026-09Bullrun
65Trinidad and Tobago36Watch2025Bullrun
66Brunei35Watch2025Bullrun
67Croatia35Watch2026-09Bullrun
68Czechia35Watch2026-09Bullrun
69Austria34Watch2026-09Bullrun
70Cyprus34Watch2026-09Bullrun
71Paraguay33Watch2025Bullrun
72Seychelles33Watch2025Bullrun
73Italy32Watch2026-09Bullrun
74Luxembourg32Watch2026-10Bullrun
75Poland32Watch2026-09Bullrun
76Euro Area31Watch2026-10Bullrun
77Hungary31Watch2026-10Bullrun
78Indonesia31Watch2026-10Bullrun
79Malaysia31Watch2026-Q2Bullrun
80Portugal31Watch2026-09Bullrun
81Sri Lanka31Watch2025Bullrun
82Thailand31Watch2026-Q2Bullrun
83Japan29Calm2026-09Bullrun
84Switzerland29Calm2026-10Bullrun
85Belarus28Calm2025Bullrun
86South Korea28Calm2026-10Bullrun
87Sweden28Calm2026-09Bullrun
88Azerbaijan27Calm2025Bullrun
89Belize27Calm2025Bullrun
90Peru25Calm2026-Q1Bullrun
91San Marino25Calm2025Bullrun
92Albania24Calm2025Bullrun
93Germany24Calm2026-09Bullrun
94Honduras24Calm2025Bullrun
95Jamaica24Calm2025Bullrun
96Slovenia24Calm2026-10Bullrun
97Ecuador22Calm2025Bullrun
98Cabo Verde21Calm2025Bullrun
99Denmark21Calm2026-10Bullrun
100Ireland21Calm2026-10Bullrun
101Malta19Very calm2026-09Bullrun
102Singapore17Very calm2026-Q2Bullrun
103Netherlands16Very calm2026-09Bullrun
104Nicaragua11Very calm2025Bullrun
105Vietnam10Very calm2025Bullrun
106Aruba9Very calm2025Bullrun
107Andorra8Very calm2025Bullrun

How the scale reads

BandWhat it meansEconomies
< 20Very calm7
20 to 30Calm18
30 to 45Watch53
45 to 60Elevated24
60+Stretched5

These are the same bands that shade the map on the Global Markets dashboard, so a country's colour there and its band here always agree.

What this measures

Six pillars - labour, housing, credit, fiscal, external and cycle - each scored 0 to 100 and averaged, for the 107 economies covered by at least four of them. An economy covering fewer than four is left unscored rather than scored low, because thin coverage otherwise reads as a calm economy. Higher is more stretched. Every economy here has a page of its own showing the pillar breakdown, including which readings were too stale to count.

Source: Bullrun six-pillar composite, built from OECD, BIS, IMF and World Bank releases. Coverage differs from metric to metric because these providers cover different sets of economies, and a gap is left as a gap rather than filled from a proxy - an absent economy is one we hold no reading for, never a zero. See the data license.

Other metrics by country

Global markets dashboard · Every economy scored · Screen stocks by country