Country stress by country

Every economy Bullrun holds a reading for: 107 in all, ranked highest first. Ukraine is the highest at 75 and Andorra the lowest at 8; the median is 38. Each row carries its own period and source, because these providers publish on different calendars - two rows in this table can be more than a year apart.

Country stress by country, ranked

#EconomyStress scoreBandPeriodSource
1Ukraine75Stretched2025Bullrun
2Suriname69Stretched2025Bullrun
3Lebanon66Stretched2025Bullrun
4Romania66Stretched2026-07Bullrun
5Bahamas59Elevated2025Bullrun
6Bolivia58Elevated2025Bullrun
7Iran58Elevated2025Bullrun
8Jordan58Elevated2025Bullrun
9Moldova57Elevated2025Bullrun
10North Macedonia56Elevated2026-07Bullrun
11Saudi Arabia55Elevated2026-08Bullrun
12Bulgaria53Elevated2026-07Bullrun
13Sudan53Elevated2025Bullrun
14Egypt52Elevated2025Bullrun
15Fiji52Elevated2025Bullrun
16Mauritius52Elevated2025Bullrun
17Slovakia52Elevated2026-07Bullrun
18Tunisia50Elevated2025Bullrun
19Brazil48Elevated2026-08Bullrun
20Colombia48Elevated2026-08Bullrun
21Argentina47Elevated2026-08Bullrun
22Armenia47Elevated2025Bullrun
23Latvia47Elevated2026-08Bullrun
24Kazakhstan46Elevated2025Bullrun
25New Zealand46Elevated2026-Q2Bullrun
26Chile45Elevated2026-08Bullrun
27Panama45Elevated2025Bullrun
28Australia44Watch2026-07Bullrun
29Belgium44Watch2026-08Bullrun
30Bhutan44Watch2025Bullrun
31Bosnia and Herz.44Watch2026-06Bullrun
32Canada43Watch2026-08Bullrun
33Mongolia43Watch2025Bullrun
34Iceland42Watch2026-08Bullrun
35India42Watch2026-07Bullrun
36Kyrgyzstan42Watch2025Bullrun
37China41Watch2026-08Bullrun
38Costa Rica41Watch2026-08Bullrun
39France41Watch2026-08Bullrun
40Russia41Watch2026-Q2Bullrun
41United States40Watch2026-08Bullrun
42Uruguay40Watch2025Bullrun
43Uzbekistan40Watch2025Bullrun
44Bahrain39Watch2025Bullrun
45Barbados39Watch2025Bullrun
46Dominican Rep.39Watch2025Bullrun
47Georgia39Watch2025Bullrun
48Hong Kong39Watch2026-Q1Bullrun
49United Kingdom39Watch2026-07Bullrun
50Cyprus38Watch2026-07Bullrun
51El Salvador38Watch2025Bullrun
52Finland38Watch2026-08Bullrun
53Israel38Watch2026-08Bullrun
54Japan38Watch2026-08Bullrun
55Mexico38Watch2026-08Bullrun
56Morocco38Watch2026-Q1Bullrun
57Serbia38Watch2026-Q1Bullrun
58South Africa38Watch2026-07Bullrun
59Sri Lanka38Watch2025Bullrun
60Croatia37Watch2026-07Bullrun
61Czechia37Watch2026-08Bullrun
62Greece37Watch2026-08Bullrun
63Philippines37Watch2026-Q1Bullrun
64Estonia36Watch2026-08Bullrun
65Lithuania36Watch2026-08Bullrun
66Pakistan36Watch2025Bullrun
67Paraguay36Watch2025Bullrun
68Trinidad and Tobago36Watch2025Bullrun
69Brunei35Watch2025Bullrun
70Spain35Watch2026-08Bullrun
71Turkey35Watch2026-08Bullrun
72Austria33Watch2026-08Bullrun
73Indonesia33Watch2026-08Bullrun
74Euro Area32Watch2026-08Bullrun
75Honduras32Watch2025Bullrun
76Norway32Watch2026-08Bullrun
77Portugal32Watch2026-08Bullrun
78Seychelles32Watch2025Bullrun
79Belarus31Watch2025Bullrun
80Italy31Watch2026-08Bullrun
81Poland31Watch2026-08Bullrun
82Switzerland31Watch2026-08Bullrun
83Belize30Watch2025Bullrun
84Hungary30Watch2026-08Bullrun
85Luxembourg30Watch2026-08Bullrun
86Thailand30Watch2026-Q1Bullrun
87Malaysia29Calm2026-Q1Bullrun
88Sweden29Calm2026-08Bullrun
89Azerbaijan27Calm2025Bullrun
90San Marino27Calm2025Bullrun
91South Korea27Calm2026-08Bullrun
92Albania26Calm2025Bullrun
93Jamaica26Calm2025Bullrun
94Ireland25Calm2026-08Bullrun
95Peru25Calm2026-Q1Bullrun
96Germany24Calm2026-08Bullrun
97Netherlands24Calm2026-08Bullrun
98Ecuador22Calm2025Bullrun
99Denmark21Calm2026-08Bullrun
100Slovenia21Calm2026-08Bullrun
101Cabo Verde20Calm2025Bullrun
102Malta20Calm2026-07Bullrun
103Singapore18Very calm2026-Q1Bullrun
104Vietnam13Very calm2025Bullrun
105Nicaragua12Very calm2025Bullrun
106Andorra8Very calm2025Bullrun
107Aruba8Very calm2025Bullrun

How the scale reads

BandWhat it meansEconomies
< 20Very calm5
20 to 30Calm16
30 to 45Watch59
45 to 60Elevated23
60+Stretched4

These are the same bands that shade the map on the Global Markets dashboard, so a country's colour there and its band here always agree.

What this measures

Six pillars - labour, housing, credit, fiscal, external and cycle - each scored 0 to 100 and averaged, for the 107 economies covered by at least four of them. An economy covering fewer than four is left unscored rather than scored low, because thin coverage otherwise reads as a calm economy. Higher is more stretched. Every economy here has a page of its own showing the pillar breakdown, including which readings were too stale to count.

Source: Bullrun six-pillar composite, built from OECD, BIS, IMF and World Bank releases. Coverage differs from metric to metric because these providers cover different sets of economies, and a gap is left as a gap rather than filled from a proxy - an absent economy is one we hold no reading for, never a zero. See the data license.

Other metrics by country

Global markets dashboard · Every economy scored · Screen stocks by country